0.05
Reasoned in dependent-economy / user-in-care dollar terms, not gross MAU (platform reports ~45M active users / 75M+ downloads as of Sep-2025, tens of millions MAU into 2026 — NOT used directly). Grounded instead on the subscription economy that actually depends on the platform continuing to exist: c.ai+ ARR ~$50M/yr end of 2025 (~$0.05B), used here as the best available proxy for the attributable dependent economy since a true 'people relying on this for companionship/support' dollar figure isn't published. This likely understates true gravity somewhat (unpaid daily-active users who are emotionally dependent but not paying are a real but unquantifiable component; the wrongful-death/regulatory record suggests real dependency exists beyond the subscriber base) but a users x arbitrary-ARPU multiplication was explicitly avoided per the wave recipe. Held in the $0.01-1B/yr band as instructed.
Sourced figures 3
- DuckDuckGo HTML search aggregation ~45M active users, 75M+ total downloads, Sep 2025
- DuckDuckGo HTML search aggregation (attrib. Sacra) c.ai+ subscription ARR ~$50M projected end of 2025
- Wikipedia — Character.ai wrongful-death lawsuits (Setzer, Peralta) and PA AG unlicensed-medicine suit indicate real user dependency/harm surface beyond paying subscribers, not separately dollarized here
the working
Basis
Reasoned in dependent-economy / user-in-care dollar terms, not gross MAU (platform reports ~45M active users / 75M+ downloads as of Sep-2025, tens of millions MAU into 2026 — NOT used directly). Grounded instead on the subscription economy that actually depends on the platform continuing to exist: c.ai+ ARR ~$50M/yr end of 2025 (~$0.05B), used here as the best available proxy for the attributable dependent economy since a true 'people relying on this for companionship/support' dollar figure isn't published. This likely understates true gravity somewhat (unpaid daily-active users who are emotionally dependent but not paying are a real but unquantifiable component; the wrongful-death/regulatory record suggests real dependency exists beyond the subscriber base) but a users x arbitrary-ARPU multiplication was explicitly avoided per the wave recipe. Held in the $0.01-1B/yr band as instructed.
Threads 2
A claim is one metric we assert about a node — the value is the summary, this page is the receipt. Sourced from kestrel; supersedes-history not yet shown. Back to Character.AI.
