The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

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Capital · out

across 7 members — open each for the figure + sources

about Frontier lab

aggregate of member nodes

Aggregate of 7 member claims — each member's sourced figures are below.


the working

Basis

aggregate of member nodes

Member claims 7

This is an aggregate — its evidence is the members' own claims.

  • Anthropic compute drawdowns across Amazon/Google/Azure/Akamai; net burn not disclosed (the …
  • OpenAI ~$8-9B net loss 2025 + phased compute drawdowns; planned spend ~$115B through 2029; …
  • Mistral AI datacenter buildout ($830M, Mar-2026, no disclosed multi-year horizon); plus a Jul-21-2026 …
  • DeepSeek lean compute — training costs cited in low-single-digit $M; no confirmed large external …
  • Alibaba ~¥380B AI buildout capex depressing operating income; state 'national team' ~$8.9B equity …
  • SpaceXAI cash drew down ~$9B over a quarter; Colossus buildout capex; xAI operating losses inside …
  • Deepmind R&D spend consolidated inside Alphabet; Gemini serving/inference costs embedded across …

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A claim is one metric we assert about a node — the value is the summary, this page is the receipt. Sourced from kestrel; supersedes-history not yet shown. Back to Frontier lab.