The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

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Gravity

across 7 members — open each for the figure + sources

about Frontier lab

aggregate of member nodes

Aggregate of 7 member claims — each member's sourced figures are below.


the working

Basis

aggregate of member nodes

Member claims 7

This is an aggregate — its evidence is the members' own claims.

  • Anthropic >$5B/yr GROSS run-rate revenue, 300k+ business customers (Aug-2025, likely higher now)
  • OpenAI ~$1.0-1.4T anchored-compute STOCK (~$175B/yr GROSS orbiting); VA-deflated ~$57B/yr (x0.5 …
  • Mistral AI no clean $ figure for third-party economic activity — open-weight adoption + …
  • DeepSeek no clean $ figure — heavy open-weight adoption + ultra-cheap API (impact proxy: #1 US iOS …
  • Alibaba ~$1.05T GMV GROSS (VERY gross — commerce GMV) + ~$22B/yr Cloud. VA-deflated ~$43B/yr (~6% …
  • SpaceXAI ~$85B/yr GROSS orbiting (Starlink + launch-dependent + compute leases, now firmed up by …
  • Deepmind ~$58.7B/yr GROSS Google Cloud revenue (2025) + Gemini embedded across …

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A claim is one metric we assert about a node — the value is the summary, this page is the receipt. Sourced from kestrel; supersedes-history not yet shown. Back to Frontier lab.