The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

← Tesla

Capital · deployed

~$12.9B/yr capex TTM (up from $8.5B FY2025) — the FSD/robotaxi/Optimus/Energy buildout; this is the line the market is punishing the stock for.

high confidence · as of 2026-07-28 · about Tesla

Sourced figures 1


the working

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