Care
The care economy — payers + providers.
The metrics
- Posture
- consolidating — 2 of 7 (consolidating 2 · retrenching 2 · at-war 1 · hedging 1 · expanding 1) 1 members →
- Capital · available
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
- Capital · operating
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
- Capital · deployed
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
- Capital · in
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
- Capital · out
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
- Optionality
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
- Gravity
- across 1 members — open each for the figure + sources 1 members →
Health 7
capital ~$127.7B/yr revenue (non-profit; reserves mission-locked)
- opt
- constrained — non-profit; Risant roll-up
- grav
- GROSS — 13.1M members, 40 hospitals, 25,505 physicians …
New 09-02 (events of 09-01): the AI fight jumped bargaining units, and the new one is ten times larger. California Nurses …
capital ~$448B/yr revenue + ~$89B float
- opt
- constrained (MLR) but Optum is a free lever (M&A)
- grav
- ~$380B+/yr GROSS routed + 50M members; Optum touches …
New 08-16: no further movement all week (08-10→08-16) — an explicit-zero Sunday for the mental-health lens (trade press doesn't publish …
capital ~$400B/yr revenue
- opt
- constrained + debt-laden (Aetna / Oak St)
- grav
- ~$340B+/yr GROSS — Caremark 75M, ~9,100 pharmacies (~1/5 of …
New 08-16: no further movement — an explicit-zero Sunday for the mental-health lens (trade press doesn't publish weekends). One housekeeping …
capital ~$275B/yr revenue
- opt
- constrained core / free Evernorth (Express Scripts)
- grav
- GROSS — 185M+ relationships + 1.7M providers (widest …
New 08-16: no further movement all week (08-10→08-16) — an explicit-zero Sunday for the mental-health lens, and the shared …
capital ~$199B/yr revenue + >=$6B/yr operating cash flow
- opt
- constrained + 11-state Blue license fence
- grav
- GROSS — ~46.8M members
New 08-16: no further movement all week (08-10→08-16) — an explicit-zero Sunday for the mental-health lens, and no new Elevance-specific …
capital ~$130B/yr revenue
- opt
- most constrained — ~85% govt MA/Medicaid, CMS-set rates
- grav
- GROSS — #2 Medicare Advantage insurer (~5-6M MA members, …
New 08-16: no further movement all week (08-10→08-16) — an explicit-zero Sunday for the mental-health lens, and still nothing …
capital ~$75.6B/yr revenue
- opt
- free capital allocation (buybacks) / rate-constrained …
- grav
- GROSS — 186 hospitals + ~2,000 sites across 21 states + UK …
New 08-16: still quiet — no HCA-specific development; the `hca-healthcare` thread remains last_seen 08-04, now 12 days stale. HCA carries no …
