The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

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corp L1 Chips

Micron

What Micron is up to now

The #3, most whiplashed by Nvidia's favor — excluded from early Vera Rubin HBM4 slots in February, reinstated by June, HBM4 now in high- volume shipments per its own filing. Best print of the trio (Q3 FY26: $41.5B revenue, 84.6% gross margin, guiding $50B), funding a $200B US buildout (NY megafab, Idaho, $6.1B CHIPS) as the only US- based DRAM maker. No CXMT response needed — it exited China's server market in 2023. Fiscal Q4 ~late Sept.

as of 2026-07-28

Sphere us
Pocket Chips

The metrics — click any for its citations + threads

Posture med
expanding 1 src →
Capital · available high
~$26.0B cash+STI (Q3 FY26, ended May 28 2026; cash $25.0B + ST inv $1.0B); net cash ~$19.6B (total debt $6.4B) 1 src →
Capital · operating high
~$51.4B/yr operating cash flow (TTM); ~$26.2B/yr FCF (TTM) — vs only $1.7B FCF FY25 (capex-heavy) 1 src →
Capital · deployed high
TTM capex ~$25.3B (Idaho/NY megafabs + HBM); buybacks ~$1.4B TTM; dividend ~$0.57B/yr 1 src →
Capital · in high
FY2025 revenue $37.4B; TTM revenue $90.3B (HBM-driven surge, +142% YoY); TTM net income $50.5B 1 src →
Capital · out high
capex ~$25B/yr (US megafabs, CHIPS-supported) + small dividend + modest buybacks 1 src →
Optionality high
mixed — net cash and huge FCF, but a rising slice earmarked to US megafabs + CHIPS commitments; capex-cyclical 1 src →
Gravity med
~22% of global DRAM revenue GROSS across DC+AI+PC+auto; HBM #3 and the only US DRAM maker — a memory-chokepoint flank feeding the AI buildout 2 src →

This week — what changed

Projects & threads

· CXMT IPO resource move — open · last seen 2026-07-28 · 9 entries
· Memory Squeeze scarcity — developing · last seen 2026-07-28 · 6 entries

Full item history for Micron →

Vocabulary