The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

← Research · Q1

ASE Technology → unnamed vendor(s) — compute silicon & systems (advanced packaging/test capacity construction (LEAP program))

$10.5B — 2026 capex raised to $10.5B (from a prior $8.5B forecast); ~$4B to new fabs/infrastructure, ~$6.5B to production equipment for LEAP (Leading-Edge Advanced Packaging), mainstream packaging, and test capacity (paid to unnamed vendors/contractors — this source doesn't disclose who specifically got the money)

high confidence · as of 2026-01-01 ·

$10.5B — 2026 capex raised to $10.5B (from a prior $8.5B forecast); ~$4B to new fabs/infrastructure, ~$6.5B to production equipment for LEAP (Leading-Edge Advanced Packaging), mainstream packaging, and test capacity (paid to unnamed vendors/contractors — this source doesn't disclose who specifically got the money)

Sourced figures 1

  • TrendForce ASE raises 2026 capex to a record $10.5B, LEAP revenue already exceeded a $3.5B target for 2026

    2026-07-30 high


the working

Basis

$10.5B — 2026 capex raised to $10.5B (from a prior $8.5B forecast); ~$4B to new fabs/infrastructure, ~$6.5B to production equipment for LEAP (Leading-Edge Advanced Packaging), mainstream packaging, and test capacity (paid to unnamed vendors/contractors — this source doesn't disclose who specifically got the money)

Hypothesized recipients 2

This claim's own source names no external recipient. Separate public reporting suggests some of who the money likely went to — not confirmed, not summed into the total above.

A claim is one metric we assert about a node — the value is the summary, this page is the receipt. Sourced from kestrel; supersedes-history not yet shown. Back to Research · Q1.