The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

← Research · Q1

Ase → unnamed vendor(s) — compute silicon & systems

$10.5B — 2026 capex raised to $10.5B (from a prior $8.5B forecast); ~$4B to new fabs/infrastructure, ~$6.5B to production equipment for LEAP (Leading-Edge Advanced Packaging), mainstream packaging, and test capacity (paid to unnamed vendors/contractors — this source doesn't disclose who specifically got the money)

high confidence · as of 2026-01-01T00:00:00Z ·

$10.5B — 2026 capex raised to $10.5B (from a prior $8.5B forecast); ~$4B to new fabs/infrastructure, ~$6.5B to production equipment for LEAP (Leading-Edge Advanced Packaging), mainstream packaging, and test capacity (paid to unnamed vendors/contractors — this source doesn't disclose who specifically got the money)

Sourced figures 1


the working

Basis

$10.5B — 2026 capex raised to $10.5B (from a prior $8.5B forecast); ~$4B to new fabs/infrastructure, ~$6.5B to production equipment for LEAP (Leading-Edge Advanced Packaging), mainstream packaging, and test capacity (paid to unnamed vendors/contractors — this source doesn't disclose who specifically got the money)

Hypothesized recipients 2

This claim's own source names no external recipient. Separate public reporting suggests some of who the money likely went to — not confirmed, not summed into the total above.

  • Ase → Hung Ching Constructionhypothesis

    $163.4M — Hung Ching Construction sold ASE the existing K18 facility for approximately NT$5.26B (~$163.4M); Hung Ching also holds a 77.76% stake in the K28 plant joint venture versus ASE's 22.24% (ASE contributed the land, Hung Ching funds the construction).

  • Ase → WUS Printed Circuithypothesis

    Joint facility announced with WUS Printed Circuit in Nanzih Park (~113,000 sqm, completion targeted September 2029) for FOCoS/FC BGA substrate production -- a co-investment partnership; no dollar figure attributed to WUS specifically.

A claim is one metric we assert about a node — the value is the summary, this page is the receipt. Sourced from kestrel; supersedes-history not yet shown. Back to Research · Q1.