The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

AI BIG PICTURE

Compute Spend

Where the capex lands in SILICON — the $ flowing to Nvidia/AMD/TSMC/ Broadcom, plus the custom-silicon revolt (Jalapeño, Trainium, Maia, TPU) as the giants try to stop renting from Nvidia. Category meta under where-the-capex-lands.

JalapeñoNvidia's Order BookIn-House Silicon
STATUS · OPEN OPENED · 2026-07-24 LAST SEEN ·
Nvidia Google Amazon AWS Microsoft OpenAI

2026-07-27 — The silicon split: undisclosed at all four ⟨crawl 2026-07-27⟩

2026-07-24 — Opened

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