The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

AI

In-House Silicon

The custom-silicon revolt (TPU/Trainium/Maia/MTIA) — real but INFERENCE- only, anchored by Anthropic running mostly off Nvidia on Trainium + TPU. Nvidia's absolute demand still grows; the clearest winners are the co- design houses (Broadcom, Marvell). Watch whether displacement reaches frontier training.

STATUS · OPEN OPENED · 2026-07-24 LAST SEEN · 2026-09-30
Google Amazon AWS Microsoft Meta AI OpenAI Broadcom Anthropic

Summary

The custom-silicon revolt against Nvidia is real but confined to inference so far, with Anthropic still running mostly on Nvidia via Trainium and TPU.

Whether custom silicon ever displaces Nvidia in frontier-model training, not just inference, is the open question.

2026-10-20 — Google releases TorchTPU as open source, a day after Amazon’s TorchNeuron

2026-10-12 — Microsoft announces Maia 300, its third in-house AI chip, to be its main inference system from 2027

2026-09-30 — AWS signs a $1 billion-plus chip-design licence with Synopsys

2026-09-22 — Google pitches TPUs to Korea, outside its own cloud

2026-09-17 — Broadcom’s Sept 2 earnings call named OpenAI as a 4th custom-silicon customer, $10B in orders, Jalapeño already shipping

2026-09-02 — Broadcom names Anthropic its likely largest custom-chip customer, with 5GW of next-generation TPUs planned for 2027

2026-08-25 — Jalapeño’s first public benchmarks land at Hot Chips

2026-08-21 — Anthropic hires the founding architect of Google’s TPU program

2026-08-06 — Anthropic joins the in-house silicon story

2026-08-05 — A fifth entrant: Anthropic starts building its own chip-design team

2026-07-27 — Four programs, one wall

2026-07-24 — Opened + crawled

← Backstory (crawl 2026-07-24 → artifacts/findings/inhouse-silicon-2026-07-24.md)

2026-06 — Broadcom is the real winner

2026-04 — Google Ironwood + the Anthropic anchor

2026-03 — Meta MTIA: inference, not frontier

2026-01 — Microsoft the laggard

2025-10→12 — The Anthropic-on-Amazon anchor

Related threads (shared entities)

· Jalapeño
· OpenAI IPO
· Memory Squeeze
· Microsoft's Hedge
· Apple × Gemini
· Circular Financing
· Stargate
· Hyperscaler Capex
· Google Capex
· Meta Capex
· AWS Capex
· Microsoft Capex
· Where the Capex Lands
· Compute Spend
· Power Buildout
· Datacenter Sites
· Nvidia's Order Book
· Nuclear for AI
· Grid & Turbines
· Camellia
· Anthropic IPO
· Nvidia as Lender
· Meta Gas Pivot
· Oracle's Stargate Bet
· Allianz AI Claims
· ASIC Tolls
· Dragonfly Return
· The #2 Cashes In
· Mistral AI
· Targets
· DeepMind Succession
· AI Debt Gets Rated
· Anthropic Rents the Buildout
· The Enterprise Agent Land Grab