The custom-silicon revolt (TPU/Trainium/Maia/MTIA) — real but INFERENCE- only, anchored by Anthropic running mostly off Nvidia on Trainium + TPU. Nvidia's absolute demand still grows; the clearest winners are the co- design houses (Broadcom, Marvell). Watch whether displacement reaches frontier training.
Summary
The custom-silicon revolt against Nvidia is real but confined to inference so far, with Anthropic still running mostly on Nvidia via Trainium and TPU.
Whether custom silicon ever displaces Nvidia in frontier-model training, not just inference, is the open question.