The Projection — a symmetric watercolor butterfly

The Projection

The surface is never the system.

AI

Stargate

~$500B / ~10 GW joint venture (OpenAI/SoftBank/Oracle/MGX); ~7 GW + >$400B committed over 3 years; SoftBank carrying a $40B OpenAI loan; sovereign co-investment via "OpenAI for Countries" (UAE live 2026; UK/Norway/Argentina/South Korea). Track sites actually energized, financing/grid bottlenecks, sovereign terms, and slippage.

STATUS · DEVELOPING OPENED · 2026-06-28 LAST SEEN · 2026-10-01
OpenAI SoftBank Oracle MGX

Summary

Nvidia is in talks to backstop as much as $500 billion of the Stargate buildout, including a 10-gigawatt Ohio megasite, while markets priced in real risk with a Nvidia selloff.

Whether Stargate's committed sites are actually energized on schedule, against financing and grid bottlenecks, is the open question behind the multi-hundred-billion figures.

2026-10-01 — SoftBank completes its $30 billion follow-on in OpenAI

2026-09-21 — SB Energy delays its IPO

2026-09-17 — Crusoe raises $3.9bn at a $30.9bn valuation to fund the Abilene campus this JV leans on

2026-09-01 — SB Energy’s OpenAI warrants rose to $5.5bn by end-June, and the anchor-tenant incentive package is now multi-source corroborated

2026-08-17 — The Ohio backstop talks become a signed deal: OpenAI named customer for the full 8 IT-GW

2026-07-27 — Nvidia in talks to backstop up to $500B for a 10GW Ohio megasite

2026-07-22 — A new site: Georgia

2026-07-21 — The financing gets a fee trail

← Backstory

2026-07-01 — Sovereign tranche landed

2026-06-28 — Thread opened

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