Whether UBS actually relocates its headquarters (or credibly threatens to) over Bern's post-Credit-Suisse capital-rule fight, an $18bn extra-capital requirement UBS chairman Colm Kelleher has called existential; whether the foreign-bank merger interest reported this week (eight banks signaling interest) is real or speculative; and whether Finance Minister Keller-Sutter's public dismissals hold as the rule's implementation timeline firms up.